Friday, March 21, 2014

Has SEZ Policy of India delivered? Merits and Demerits of SEZ Policy of India.

China and India’s GDP has had a phenomenal growth outperforming world’s average growth rates and other lower and middle income countries during the past whole decade and more. While China has had an annualized growth rate of above 10 percent, India has not had its growth story that terrific. China has always been a role model for India in many activities and adopting industry promotion policies such as formation of Special Economic Zones (SEZs) is one of them. While the same policy has brought tremendous benefits for China and turned out to be a successful policy, the implementation and implication of the same in India has always been in doldrums and questioned.

Looking at pre-globalization period, India’s prevailing development strategy placed emphasis upon the ‘outward orientation’ of countries, with particular emphasis on exports. Export promotion was seen as an important policy for economic growth in developing countries. In this scenario, export processing zones (EPZs) had become rather popular trade policy instruments due to their catalytic role in imparting outward orientation to the economies. EPZs were seen as key instrument not only for promoting exports and earning foreign exchange but also for stimulating economic growth through additional investment, technology transfers, and employment generation. The first zone was set up in Kandla as early as 1965 followed by the
Santacruz export processing zone which came into operation in 1973.

The basic objective of setting up EPZs in India was to promote exports and foreign exchange earnings. Though the objectives of EPZs were not clearly spelt out in India until the late 1980s, in actual practice the predominant condition in selecting EPZ units had been the expected value addition component of exports. However, EPZs were criticized for their effectiveness and were plagued with controversies regarding the beneficial effects of EPZs onto the economy.

The SEZ scheme introduced by the government of India in April 2000 thus has its genesis in the Export Processing Zone (EPZ) scheme, which was introduced way back in 1965 and under the new scheme all the existing EPZs were converted into SEZs. Though SEZ policy still has confound itself in controversies and criticism, there are still some aspects which needs some attention.

SEZ policy has directly benefited economy is fallowing ways:

1.      Employment Generation: The employment effect of SEZs operates through three channels : one, SEZs generate direct employment for skilled and unskilled labour ; two, they also generate indirect employment; and three, they generate employment for women workers. The increased employment opportunities have empowered women and have made them more independent improving their relative status and bargaining power within households.

2.      Skill Formation: Formation of SEZs and new job requirements increase firm level activity whereby the labour force acquires skills from within the firm through training and learning by doing on the job. Zone units can thus directly affect the skill formation as workers are provided additional training on- and off the job. Also it involves upgrading of the education system to cater to the needs of the zone units.

3.      Attract investors: SEZs offer a highly conducive investment climate to attract FDI by making up for infrastructural deficiencies and procedural complexities that characterize developing countries. Typically, FDI brings with it technology transfer, managerial, and other skills (such as marketing and distribution), access to markets and training for staff.

4.      Technology Upgrading: SEZs attract export-oriented FDI and promote other forms of collaboration between local firms and MNCs. Global standards, low-cost competition, and advances in technology raise challenges for the SEZ units competing in global value chains. This stimulates learning and innovation which are crucial aspects of human development.

5.      Exports: EPZ exports registered an impressive growth rate over the period 1966 to 2002. EPZ exports increased in India from less than Rs.1 million in 1966 to over Rs. 97727 million in 2002. The icing on the cake comes when we compare the gross increase in exports with respect to the increase in the employment. Gross exports rose much faster than employment in these zones. As a result, exports per employee increased at the annual growth rate of 24% and a trend growth rate of 14.6%. Percentage Growth in exports in 2007-08 have been 92% over 2006-07. The overall growth of exports has been 381% over past four years (2003-04 to 2007-08).
(Source: Indian Council For Research On International Economic Relations)
6.      Manufacturing Sector: Share of manufacturing industry in the exports grew from negligible percentage in 1970 to above 6 percent in 2005.
(Sources: Ministry of Commerce, Economic Survey, ASI)

However, with all these benefits, the policy has also been seen in some black light.

1.      Some argue that the high proportion of female employment implies that the creation of SEZs does not reduce the local unemployment rate. This is because prior to being employed in the SEZs majority of them were not part of the labour force.

2.      There are several reports of exploitation of women in SEZs. The vast majority of
workers in SEZ firms are young women aged 16–25 years . It is found that women are paid less than men for similar jobs and are subjected to sexual harassment and violence.

3.      Also, SEZ policy has been plagued by irresponsible planning and an inadequate land acquisition law that has lead to massive protest and local resistance in building up SEZs, which has hampered India’s growth opportunities.

SEZ Ground Realities: Is SEZ policy Delivering???

SEZ policy has no doubt given a boost t the Indian Economy but comparison of implementing SEZs in India to its successful implementation in other countries can bring out some holes in India’s SEZ Policy.

The total Land available in India is 2973190 sq. km of which 1620388 sq. km(54.5%) belongs to the agriculture land while remaining to non-agriculture based.
Total area for the proposed SEZ (FA+IP) is 1925 sq. km. which would not be more than 0.063% of the total land area and not be more than 0.116% of the total Agriculture land in India.

The stark difference is seen when the SEZ policy of India is compared to that of China, Indonesia or Thailand. India’s exports from the SEZs are 5 % of its total with India’s share in world exports stand at 1 percent. On the contrary, China’s exports from SEZs have been 23 % while that of Indonesia and Thailand is even more than 50 percent. Also, China’ exports are at 8 % of the total worlds exports. Thus if this data is considered, almost 2 % of the world exports come from China’s only 6 SEZs. As compared to India, 0.05 % of worlds export comes from India’s over 400 SEZs. HOW DOES IT SOUND??? Clearly the SEZ projects may have some sinister designs hidden under the carpet.

The reasons for this disparity can be attributed to many reasons, some of which have been cited as below:
1.      Improper SEZ policy
2.      Irresponsible planning for locating SEZ
3.      Ineffective Land Acquisition Policies
4.      Improper Rehabilitation Policy

1.      Improper SEZ Policy:
Though India has emulate path of “ export led economy” of China, the implementation has no matched the standards. In China, a very effective and appropriate policy is followed before an SEZ is established. For an SEZ to come up, a lot of discussion and debate takes place before a site is finalized. Even if finalized, these SEZs are located in specific areas suited perfectly for providing conducive environment of industries such as coastal areas, and with large sizes so as to achieve economies of scale. The land identified is usually waste land, though there has been some resistance by people at selected places. Also, these SEZs having huge areas have there own power houses, roads, rail systems, and other infrastructure facilities thereby bringing the economies of scale in an effective manner.

On the other hand, there is no policy in place for setting up of SEZs in India. To start with, there is no discussion in the parliament on the size, place, type and location of SEZs. Also, the SEZs size are too small as compared to its counterpart in China, with some even as low as 3 hectares of land.

Also, the type of industry is a problem area for SEZ’s in India. Almost 180 of the 260 notified SEZ locations till June 2008, belong to the IT/ ITES Sector. These includes industries such as IT, BPOs and KPOs. These are service industries which can even work fine in an area outside SEZ. SEZ should be a place where a large area is provided by well knit roads, rails, uninterrupted power supply to achieve economies of scale. Manufacturing industries are the units who need these kind of facilities badly in order to achieve large scales and reduce costs. Specially, industries in which production takes place in various stages and in different production houses, such an area with high level of infrastructure becomes imperative. Also, manufacturing sector providers employment to the grass root level of the society and invites other related industries to get established along with itself as it is depended on raw materials, and other services such as logistics and transportation. With most of the stress on Services, our manufacturing sector, which is the back bone of any country has taken a hit and has resulted in stunted growth of this sector.


2.      Irresponsible planning for locating SEZ
Location for establishment of SEZ is also an area of concern which has hold this policy from firing.
Going with the example in previous point, even if Service sector is to be promoted, it can be done by allocating a single SEZ to services in a given area. For example, 39 of the 56 SEZs in Andhra Pradesh belong to services sector. Also, each of these SEZs are established in a small area ranging from few Hectares to 30 hectares. Instead of dispersed SEZs, these could have been clubbed at a single place forming a large SEZ catering to only service sector in Andhra Pradesh. Likewise, similar practices could have been followed in other states. This would have solved two purposes, 1) growth of state and 2) promotion of services more effectively and efficiently.

3.      Ineffective Land Acquisition Policies
The land acquisitions policy followed by the government is aegis old and outdated. At present, land is acquired as per ruled laid down in Land Acquisition Act (1894) which calls for amendments and reforms in the ACT. Currently, government can acquire 100 % of the lad without any clear-cut and transparent mechanism for price determination. It is in light of this acquisition policy that battles and violence in places such as Nandigram and Singur in west Bengal took place.
Loss of lively hood to farmers due to improper compensation is the major cause of such instances which should be addressed if such violence’s in future is to be avoided.

4.      Improper Rehabilitation Policy
The unconvincing and non transparent policies for rehabilitation is also a bone of contention for issues such as Nandigram. With unclear laws, role of state as middleman Brokering social justice is suspected. Also, government only safeguards land owners interests, if al all it does. However, it doesn’t consider the landless laborers into account while taking such actions.


Steps Needed

There are many steps required to make SEZs effective and efficient.
·        The most important is to rectify the SEZ policy as a whole including selection of Industries and Location for setting up a SEZs.

·        Let the SEZ developer buy the land directly
o   i.e. no intervention of govt. as mediator
o   eg. Reliance group in Maharashtra

·        Decide acquiring price on the basis of current rates in the area
o   Reliance paid Rs.45-75 lakh per hectare as opposed to Rs.2 lakh per hectare proposed by Govt.
o   Government paid above Rs 1 crore a hectare as compensation for acquiring land for building airport near Mohali, Punjab

·        Give share of acquired land in the developed area to the owners
·        Landless laborers should also be provided employment
·        Limit state’s role to acquiring condemned waste land for better tax revenue generation
·        Provide employment to affected population


Tags: Failure of SEZ policy in India, SEZ policy Advantages,  

Who will be The Next Super Power? Can China or India be a Super Power?

When we talk of a superpower nation, the first thing that comes to our mind is The United States. And to great extent, it is true. In fact it is the only superpower nation which comes to our top of mind search, with no one else coming close enough. But the world is changing fast and so is its international scenario. In these dynamic times, complacence has no room as its said, “hide sight is no excuse for foresight”.

A superpower is a country that has the capacity to project dominating power and influence anywhere in the world, and sometimes, in more than one region of the globe at a time. Four components of influence mark a superpower, Miller says: military, economic, political, and cultural. At present though USA has the upper edge in all these spheres, but other nations are fast catching up and might overtake Uncle Sam for the top slot.

Here I am talking of the two developing nations who not only have the potential but the hunger to dominate the world; INDIA and CHINA. China and India have not only shown phenomenal growth in the recent past but have emerged as one of the few strong economies of the world. But the economies are fast moving towards development and it will not be surprising if any of them surpasses The US. But only one will succeed to the top of all. Who will be it?

At present, India’s GDP stands at 1.09 Trillion Dollars, while theat of US and China are at 14.33 and 3.42 respectively. The GDP projections of WOE IMF, Oct ’08 states that in 2050 China will surpass all with a GDP of about 42 Trillion Dollars, followed by the US at 34 and India at 25 Trillion Dollars. However, GDP is not all we have to consider before passing out the verdict. There are plenty of other factors on the anvil before construing any judgment.

In the recent years, china has shown considerable improvement compared to others in almost every field. China’s International Reserves have been increasing ever since 1998 with ever increasing trade surplus which in 2007 was about $290 bn. India on the other hand has been successful in maintaining a constantly growing trade deficit which stood at $ 55 bn in 2007.

It’s not that India’s not on right track, in fact it’s in the league of top contenders for the Number 1 position. We have population of 1095 million and it’s been proved by China that people are a nations assets. Our official unemployment stands at 7.9 %, far less than that of China’s 17 %.our investment rate is 37 % of GDP as compared to US’s only 14.6 %. According to a Research released by AT Kearmey India ranks number 1 on attractive index for offshore location followed by China and Malaysia. It has emerged as leader in IT and Services with favorable labor pool, education system, English proficiency and cost advantage. Majority of billionaires from Asia Indians with 4 in top 10 richest people of the world. However, still there are many things that keep India from becoming a major power in the world.

To begin with, India has 26 percent of its people below poverty line and to add to this a fifth of the population with income above the poverty line is vulnerable to receding back into poverty due to unexpected income loss and other shocks. Almost 80 percent of the people live on less than 2 $ a day and form a vulnerable part of the society. Although we claim that the ratio of poverty has come down from 53.9 percent during 1958 to 26.1 percent during 2000 but the absolute number reveals the reality which depicts that the incidence of poverty has indeed increased from 220.6 million in 1958 to 260.3 million during 2000. Nearly nine out of 10 pregnant women aged between 15 and 49 years suffer from malnutrition and about half of all children (47%) under-five suffer from underweight and 21 percent of the populations are undernourished. India alone has more undernourished people (204 million) than all of sub-Saharan Africa combined.
33 percent of the worlds illiterate live in India whereas this figure is only 11 percent in China. 80,000 of our schools are without black board and 1, 44,000 have only one teacher, yet we boast about the Sarav Siksha Abhiyan. 25 percent of the MPs have criminal record in this nation which also happens to be one of the world’s lowest voter turnouts of about 58 percent. We have 13 judges per million of population. There are 3 Crore (30 million) pending cases in our courts 25.5 millions in District & Sub-district court , 3.36 lakhs in High Court & 39,000 in Supreme Court. We have one of the lowest conviction rate just 42.4% (in 2005). Japan & Russia have 99% conviction rate.

Health care Budget of India is just 0.9% of the Gross Domestic Product while we spend loads on defense and other activities which don’t give any returns. Average amount a person spends on health care in India - $82 while in US it is $5267, just notice the gap. Yet India has become a Hub for Medical Tourism: An angioplasty that takes $50,000 in US costs just $11,000 in India. Heart Surgery costs $6000 (as against 30,000 in US) & Bone marrow transplant costs $26,000 (as against $2,50,000 in US). We have one of the largest slums of the world with over 100 million people in India living in them. In Human Development Report of 177 nations, India ranks at a poor 127th place while china is at 85th. 60 percent of our population depends on agriculture which contributes only 22 percent in the GDP of the country. According to C Rangarajan Report, elasticity of the Agriculture sector is 0, i.e. additional input in agriculture will not generate any ore employment. Still we depend a lot on agriculture. India’s total debt stands at staggering $ 658 billion.
China on the other hand has managed to put many feathers in its cap. With GDP of $ 3.5 Trillion, it is the second most powerful economy after the US in terms of PPP (Purchasing Power Parity). It has managed to record GDP growth on double figures at 13 percent making it one of the fastest growing economies of the world. According to Goldman Sachs study, in aggregate terms, China is the fourth largest economy and may surpass the size of world’s largest economy i.e. US by 2040. It’s expected to overtake over take Japan by 2020. And there are facts to prove this.

Though t is the most populated country in the world, but somehow they have managed to put breaks on it. With its population growing at 0.61 percent, it’s placed itself at a comfortable position as compared to India who still grows at 1.56 percent annually in terms of its inhabitants. China has available labor pool of about 800 million efficient people. Per capita income of China is at healthy $ 5300 compared to India’s $ 2800 with an average inflation rate of 4.15 percent as compared to India’s average of 6.5 percent.
Savings and Investment plays an important role in the country’s growth. Higher the savings, higher is investment and thus more is the money flow in the economy. This forms the biases of high multiplier which accelerates growth. China with investment rate of 44 percent of GDP thus manages more circulation of money as compared to India’s 36 percent of GDP. Moreover, there GDP size of $ 3.42 trillion compared to India’s $1 trillion makes this some a mammoth.

Compared to the US, India and China, China’s the only one with a positive Current balance account of $ 262 billion. India on the other hand has negative current balance of $ 98 billion while deficits for the USA are staggering $562 billion, thanks to the subprime crises and the numerous bailout packages. Also, public debts of China are only 22 % of GDP compared to India’s 82 % and US’s 75 %. Total abut of debt on China is about $ 120 billion while that of India and the US is 658 Billion $ and 10.76 Trillion $ respectively.

Backbone of any country is its manufacturing sector. Manufacturing sector not only provides necessary employment to people, but also generate the necessary foreign earnings for the nation. China has a thriving manufacturing sector which makes it the number 1 choice to be a super power. With an Industrial Production growth of 22 percent, it has left its competitions far behind in this field. India’s complacency of 7.9 percent growth in industrial production and USA’s dismal 3.2 percent has added to the gap created. No wonder why we see “ Made In China” tag on all the goods we buy.

The main driving force for China is its stable political structure and sound policies. The best example being the SEZ policy that China has implemented. India on the other hand has not even able to mend the basics of this policy since it emulated in 2000, almost a decade back. Still we have low production zones, land acquisition disputes like Nandigram and low capacity utilization. The conducive environment that the Chinese Government provides to its industries has not been replicated in India.


Thus China, with a literacy rate of 91 percent and just 10 million people below the poverty line and its growing economic clout certainly seems to overtake US in no so far future to be the new super power in the world. And if some of the predictions by research companies are right, we might see a change in the world political and economic system in about next 20 years.

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