Friday, February 28, 2014

Is Poverty relevant for Growth? / Relevance of Poverty in Growth

Factors Related to Growth of a Economy/ Country

Below Poverty Line (BPL), the three words of a hell. We rarely spare a thought for those living Below the Poverty Line and what life means to them. Government claims that number of such people and families is decreasing slowly, and yes it is, BUT very slowly. These are the people who just get below that a dollar a day, sleep empty stomach and get lost in the over a billion crowd of India.

India has made notable progress in terms of income and human poverty reduction over the decades, particularly in the 1990s. In spite of this, one third of the population is still below the poverty line. In addition, a fifth of the population with income above the poverty line is vulnerable to receding back into poverty due to unexpected income loss and other shocks. The challenges of reducing income poverty for this huge mass of population and creating employment opportunities for them are enormous. There are also big challenges in reducing human poverty and enhancing capability. There are a number of factors related to growth of a country. Poverty affects and effect growth in a major way.

Labor being the main asset and income source of the poor, there is a need for creating enabling environment for the poor to get more remunerative employment. Policies need to be adopted to raise productivity and returns to labor in both agriculture and non-agriculture sectors. Conditions need to be created through upgrading the skill levels of the unskilled labor to facilitate their participation in the dynamic non-farm activities and increasing their access to non-agricultural employment. 

Joseph Stiglitz in Globalization and its Discontents, page 5: “despite repeated promises of poverty eradication made is the last decade of the 20th century; the number of people living in poverty has actually increased by almost a hundred million. This has happened simultaneously as the world income actually increased by an average of 2.5 % annually”.

Checking the government’s Data, India has roughly 50 Million Tons of food grains laying unused, the cost of storing which is about Rs 11,000 crore per annum, which is about Rs 2200 per ton. This is ignoring the wastage and pilferage costs. To feed 200Million BPL population on an average of 8 KGs per month per person, we have enough stock for TWO and HALF Years and still there are millions who die every year due to hunger and destitution.


To realize the country’s growth potentials, there is a need for increasing investment through raising domestic public and private savings and generating more external resources. Also in particular, there is also a need for upgrading the stock of infrastructure to support diversification of production, raise productivity, expand trade, provide basic services and reduce poverty. There are many parameters on which poverty depends such as education, agriculture, employment level, dependence on agriculture, etc. These have been discussed as below:

Poverty Index
When people like Lakshmi Mittal, Azim Premji, Anil and Mukesh Ambani have successfully placed themselves within the 100 richest billionaires of the World in the Forbes listing, India has also placed herself as the 48th poorest nation with 31.4 percent value in the Human Poverty Index (HPI). Barbados tops the rank in the HPI among the developing countries with a value 2.5 percent. According to the report 16 percent of the population still remains and live with out having sustainable access to improved water resources and there is a probability at birth for 15.3 percent of the population of not surviving to the age of forty. Hence poverty index is important for the growth.


Education Level:
Education happens to be the least a government can provide to its citizens, else the cost of not providing education will me much more dearer to a government and the nation’s future. Education level has a direct impact on the economic progress of the country and thus there are many reasons to find a link between education and economic growth. Few of the most basic reasons are:

1.      Intelligent electorate choice: The first this an educated man would do is to stop voting for uncommitted, uneducated goons behind the grab of statesmen.
India, which is plagued by the mafiya and the gunda raj and who have direct linkages with the politics makes sure that light of education doesn’t fall upon these masses so as to keep them in dark. This enables them to muster votes of the uneducated by alcohol, money or power. There is a growing distress in the educated population of the country who form the minor part as compared to the large pool of uneducated vote bank. The feeling that their vote won’t make any difference in making an intelligent electorate choice deters them from the pooling booths, thus making matters worse.

Standard of Living: Rise in Standard of living has been directly linked to the level of education. High growth and rapid progress is not possible in  a society whole population is not literate. If people with education earn more than those without, shouldn’t the same be true of countries? If not the rate of change of output per hour worked, at least the level of output per hour worked in a country, ought to depend on the educational attainment of the population. If spending on education delivers returns of some sort, in much the same way as spending on fixed capital, then it is sensible to talk of investing in human capital, as the counterpart to investing in fixed capital. The process of education can be analysed as an investment decision.

Health and Poverty
"The biggest enemy of health in the developing world is poverty." Kofi Annan
Health issues are directly related to poverty. Poverty creates ill-health because it forces people to live in environments that make them sick, without decent shelter, clean water or adequate sanitation. As per the data provided in the human development report, the total infant mortality rate for India is 67 deaths/1,000 live births and the maternal mortality ratio is 540 per 100,000 live births. Due to various causes also 93-children/ 1000 live births die before they reach the age of five.

Malnutrition And Relationship With Poverty

Malnutrition has long been recognized as a consequence of poverty. It is widely accepted that higher rates of malnutrition will be found in areas with widespread poverty. Malnutrition is the result of marginal dietary intake compounded by infection.

It is estimated that nearly 30% of infants, children, adolescents, adults and elderly in the developing world are suffering from one or more of the multiple forms of malnutrition, 49% of the 10 million deaths among children less than 5 years old each year in the developing world are associated with malnutrition, another 51% of them associated with infections and other causes. 

Poverty declined during the 90s to below 30 per cent, especially in the country’s rural areas. But this impressive record hides the uncomfortable fact that 193 million people are still poor and await a change in their fortunes. Poverty has declined mainly because of better economic growth, improvement in real wages and the spread of poverty alleviation programmes. 

Per Capita Income, Poverty and Growth
It is a fact that richer the people, lesser will be the poverty, and higher will be per capita income. This fast is bolstered by the fact that within India, states which have higher per capita income have lover poverty as compared to states whose per capita incomes are lower. According to the Indiastat.com, per capita income of Punjab is highest with about $6000 while that of Bihar is at about $3000. Correspondingly the poverty in Punjab is about 5 percent of its population while that of Bihar, it is at 40 percent. At the same time growth rates of these states depict the same story. Poverty ridden state has a growth rate of only about 1 percent while growth rate of Punjab stands at about 3.2 percent. This shows a clear picture of Poverty: i.e. lesser the poverty, higher is the growth and higher is the per capita income. Higher per capita income means better standard of living.

Poverty and Savings
Savings are very important in a nations economic growth and development. Higher savings leads to higher investment and thus higher circulation of money into the economy. This leads to a higher multiplier effect thereby nudging the growth up. However, if the population is living in destitution, they won’t have enough money to sustain their basis needs leave apart the savings.
If we look at the past trend of India, as and when poverty has decreased, savings have increased. In 1991, we had 45 percent of our population below poverty line and our savings were meager 20 percent with the country growing at the Hindu Growth Rate of 3 percent. With the decrease in poverty  to 26 percent below poverty line and stress on savings by the government our savings rates have risen to 37 percent in 2007 in simultaneous with the growth of 8 to 9 percent.  

The above were the factors that affect growth centered at poverty.
Poverty is relevant to growth big time.

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